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Michael Saylor hints at more purchases, 100% win-rate trader predicts market going long again
BlockBeats News, December 1st, according to PolyBeats monitoring, Michael Saylor, the founder of MicroStrategy, the world's largest holder of Bitcoin, once again posted Bitcoin Tracker-related information on X on the morning of November 30th, Eastern Time. According to the previous pattern, Strategy always discloses information about additional Bitcoin purchases on the day after such announcements.
Upon the tweet's release, the market prediction on "Will MicroStrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase between November 25th and December 1st?" saw a rapid surge in probability from 71% to 98%. Despite only one day remaining until the settlement date (December 1st), the probability of this event is currently holding steady at around 90%, demonstrating the market's high confidence in Michael Saylor's signals.
Through analysis, it was found that this event has also attracted some very insightful accounts, revealing traders' in-depth understanding of MicroStrategy's purchasing strategy: user danielesta holds a "Yes" position in this event with a total value of over $8,300 and an average price of 89¢, indicating his strong belief that MicroStrategy will announce a purchase before the deadline. However, intriguingly, in another related event "Will MicroStrategy announce a purchase of>1000 BTC between November 25th and December 1st?", he holds a "No" position at the same average price (worth $1,051). This two-way operation suggests that danielesta is convinced that MSTR will indeed announce a BTC purchase today, and the amount will be less than 1,000 coins. His only historical transaction also successfully predicted the timing of MicroStrategy's Bitcoin purchases.
Another trader, Ktulhuu, currently holds a single position in this event at an average price of 93¢ for "Yes," with a total value of a whopping $26,600. What's more noteworthy is that all 6 of his historical transactions are related to MicroStrategy holding or purchasing Bitcoin, and all 6 trades have been profitable, boasting a 100% success rate.
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