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Opinion: Recent US Employment Data is "Alarming", Fed Has Reason to Implement "Insurance" Rate Cut Next Year
BlockBeats News, December 18th, according to analysis by UBS, this week's job report revealed a potential softness in the US labor market, which could serve as a basis for the Federal Reserve to further cut interest rates early next year. UBS Chief Economist Paul Donovan pointed out in a note to clients that this data "sounded alarm bells" in many areas. Due to the government shutdown exacerbating the issue of low response rates in the Labor Department's survey, caution is needed in interpreting the quality of the data.
Morgan Wealth Management's Investment Strategy Director Elyse Ausenbaugh also expressed concerns, especially about the October data. She stated that this report reinforces the market's view of the current Fed policy path. The past few months of "insurance" rate cuts have been a cautious move to bring rates back to a more neutral level. She believes that a further rate cut in the first quarter of 2026 may be appropriate, but for now, the economy remains stable, and the Fed is patiently observing for future action. (FXStreet)
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