- Buy Crypto
- Markets
Futures- Spot
- Copy Trade
- Earn
- More
UBS: Repeal of Trump Tariffs Could Put Pressure on US Fiscal Situation, Creating Opportunity for Fed Rate Cut
BlockBeats News, November 6th. A UBS Group analysis pointed out that if the US Supreme Court rules that Trump's tariff policy is illegal, it is expected to force the US government to refund approximately $140 billion in tariffs to importers, equivalent to 7.9% of the estimated federal budget deficit for fiscal year 2025. If the US government loses the case, the substantial tax refund will immediately trigger a fiscal impact and may lead to the formation of a structurally low-tariff trade environment.
If trading partners do not retaliate, this environment will eventually benefit the US economy and stock market. UBS estimates that the government is likely to use legal tools such as Section 201 and Section 301 of the Trade Act of 1974 to rebuild tariff barriers, but this process will take several quarters and reduce trade policy flexibility. Although the refunds will bring unexpected windfalls to import companies, the impact on the overall market may be limited as tariff costs have not significantly depressed S&P 500 earnings expectations.
UBS believes that the ruling may ultimately lower the overall effective tariff rate, increase household purchasing power, alleviate inflationary pressure, and provide the Fed with more room for interest rate cuts. As long as trading partners avoid escalating retaliatory measures, this will generally be welcomed by stock market investors. (FX678)
You may also like
Dovey Wan: The Great Liquidity Schism, Bitcoin May Never Keep Up with ARKK
Market Key Insights for February 26th, How Much Did You Miss?
L1 Value Capture Shrinks Significantly, ETH, SOL, HYPE Struggle to Return to All-Time High
Exploring the ‘Super Cycle’ in Artificial Intelligence: Insights from Brad Gerstner
Key Takeaways The concept of a ‘super cycle’ in AI technology is gaining traction, spearheaded by industry experts.…
Children and Trump’s Investment Program: Billionaires’ Contributions to “Trump Accounts”
Key Takeaways: President Donald Trump has introduced the “Trump Accounts” program, massively funded by billionaires to provide financial…
Could Stablecoins Resolve U.S. Debt? Standard Chartered Predicts $1 Trillion in Treasury Demand
Key Takeaways Projected Growth: The stablecoin market could see its capitalization soar to $2 trillion by 2028, significantly…
Missouri Advances Bitcoin Reserve Bill to House Committee in Policy Push
Key Takeaways Missouri pushes HB 2080, aiming to establish a state-run Bitcoin Strategic Reserve Fund. The bill mandates…
Ethereum Faces $1,500 Downside as Vitalik Buterin Sells 9,000 ETH
Key Takeaways Vitalik Buterin’s recent sale of nearly 9,000 ETH has triggered concerns over Ethereum’s price stability, given…
Hong Kong to Connect New Digital Bond Platform With Regional Crypto Tokenization Hubs
Key Takeaways Hong Kong is pioneering the integration of its debt market with blockchain technology through a new…
Elon’s Grok AI Predicts the Price of XRP, Cardano, and Ethereum by 2026
Key Takeaways Grok AI forecasts significant price growth for XRP, Cardano, and Ethereum by 2026. XRP could see…
Anchorage Digital Confirms Its Stake in Strategy’s STRC – A Sign of Long-term Confidence
Key Takeaways Anchorage Digital has officially disclosed holding Strategy’s STRC perpetual preferred stock, reinforcing its strategic alignment within…
Bitcoin Price Prediction: Major Miner Expands in Texas: Is a Massive BTC Production Surge Anticipating?
Key Takeaways: Canaan Inc. has expanded its role from hardware selling to direct Bitcoin production by acquiring a…
Crypto Price Prediction Today 25 February: XRP, Solana, Bitcoin
Key Takeaways Bitcoin’s recent surge to $66,000 reflects a potential bullish trend bolstered by institutional interest and regulatory…
Bitcoin Climbs on Market Optimism Ahead of Trump’s State of the Union
Key Takeaways Bitcoin’s price surged over $2,000 to surpass the $66,000 mark following optimistic signals prior to Trump’s…
An AI Crypto Agent Accidentally Bestows Six Figures, Then a Twist of Fate Strikes
Key Takeaways: An AI crypto agent mistakenly sent 52.4M LOBSTAR tokens to an unintended recipient due to a…
XRP Price Prediction: Will Massive Whale Movements Lead to a Crash Below $1?
Key Takeaways Significant whale activity on Binance has seen the movement of over 31 million XRP, causing potential…
Arizona Just Named XRP in a State Crypto Reserve Bill — Is Government Adoption Beginning?
Key Takeaways Arizona’s Senate Bill 1649 proposes the inclusion of XRP and DigiByte, alongside Bitcoin, in a Digital…
Ethereum Secures FOCIL and Redirects $6.8M in ETH to Staking
Key Takeaways Ethereum’s Hegota upgrade in the second half of 2026 will integrate the FOCIL proposal, reinforcing censorship…
Dovey Wan: The Great Liquidity Schism, Bitcoin May Never Keep Up with ARKK
Market Key Insights for February 26th, How Much Did You Miss?
L1 Value Capture Shrinks Significantly, ETH, SOL, HYPE Struggle to Return to All-Time High
Exploring the ‘Super Cycle’ in Artificial Intelligence: Insights from Brad Gerstner
Key Takeaways The concept of a ‘super cycle’ in AI technology is gaining traction, spearheaded by industry experts.…
Children and Trump’s Investment Program: Billionaires’ Contributions to “Trump Accounts”
Key Takeaways: President Donald Trump has introduced the “Trump Accounts” program, massively funded by billionaires to provide financial…
Could Stablecoins Resolve U.S. Debt? Standard Chartered Predicts $1 Trillion in Treasury Demand
Key Takeaways Projected Growth: The stablecoin market could see its capitalization soar to $2 trillion by 2028, significantly…
App