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Why Stellar’s XLM Shows the Most Bullish Chart in Crypto, Echoing XRP’s Price Surge as of August 8, 2025
Imagine two cryptocurrencies dancing in perfect harmony, their price charts moving like synchronized swimmers during a thrilling performance. That’s the story of Stellar’s XLM and Ripple’s XRP right now, where history suggests one could propel the other to new heights. As we dive into the details on this August 8, 2025, XLM is capturing attention with what some experts call the most promising setup in the entire crypto space, closely tied to XRP’s impressive momentum. Their movements often align so closely that when one surges, the other isn’t far behind, boasting a correlation coefficient that frequently climbs above 0.70 during bullish phases. Could this pattern play out again for Stellar, leading to exciting gains?
During their strongest upward trends, XLM and XRP tend to advance together, reflecting that tight connection with correlation levels often surpassing 0.70. Is it time for history to echo itself once more with Stellar?
Key Insights on XLM’s Bullish Momentum
XLM is positioning itself for a potential 35% jump toward $0.63, as it challenges the resistance of an ascending triangle pattern. This comes amid a strong historical link with XRP, hinting that XLM might keep climbing if the trend holds.
Stellar’s XLM appears primed for a significant 35% increase in value, fueled by a reliable bullish pattern and the recent climb in XRP’s price.
XLM’s Ascending Triangle Eyes $0.63 Breakthrough
Picture XLM building energy like a coiled spring, trapped in an ascending triangle—a pattern traders love because it signals continuation of an uptrend, with prices forming higher lows against a flat resistance line. That resistance sits around $0.52, and it’s been poked at several times since earlier this week, while those rising lows indicate buyers are stepping in stronger each time.
On the four-hour chart for XLM against USD, this setup is clear as day. Breaking out above $0.52 would validate the pattern, potentially sparking a move up to $0.63 by the end of August— that’s a 35% rise from where it stands today on August 8, 2025. We calculate this target by measuring the triangle’s widest point and projecting it from the breakout level.
Supporting this optimistic view are key momentum signals. The RSI on the four-hour timeframe is still comfortably below overbought territory, leaving plenty of space for further gains. Plus, XLM is staying firmly above its 20-, 50-, and 200-period exponential moving averages on the same chart, and these lines are all trending upward, reinforcing a positive outlook for the near and medium term.
This immediate pattern fits into a larger accumulation phase that seasoned trader Peter Brandt has pointed out on the monthly chart. Brandt describes XLM’s setup as potentially the “most bullish chart” across cryptocurrencies, but he emphasizes that a solid monthly close above $1— a level it’s approached without fully conquering— would be the key to unlocking its full potential.
How XRP’s Correlation Boosts XLM’s Outlook
This upbeat scenario for XLM follows its remarkable 90%+ climb over the last month, closely tracking XRP’s 60%+ advance in the same window. Looking broader, XLM has risen about 425% from its November lows, while XRP has outpaced it with over 590% gains in that period. Yet, XLM’s recent stronger performance feels like it’s playing catch-up, a common sight when XRP takes the lead in rallies.
Their deep ties stem from a shared founder and overlapping roles in facilitating cross-border transactions, creating a historical pattern of aligned price behavior. In bullish times, the correlation between XLM and XRP often exceeds 0.70, meaning their prices move in near unison.
A prime example unfolded in July 2023, when a positive U.S. court decision for Ripple ignited a 60% spike in XRP. Stellar didn’t miss a beat, surging over 60% itself, and their correlation hit an impressive 0.95— almost perfectly in sync.
Fast-forward to today, August 8, 2025, and this dynamic is alive again, bolstering the idea that XLM could extend its run as long as XRP stays strong. Recent updates as of this date show XLM trading at around $0.47, up 2% in the last 24 hours, while XRP hovers at $0.62 with a 1.5% daily gain, according to live market data from major exchanges. On Twitter, discussions are buzzing with posts like one from crypto analyst @CryptoBull2025, who tweeted yesterday: “XLM mirroring XRP’s path— if XRP breaks $0.70, expect XLM to follow to $0.65 soon! #XLMRally.” This echoes frequently searched Google queries such as “Will XLM follow XRP’s price in 2025?” and “What’s the correlation between XLM and XRP?”, highlighting community excitement. Official announcements from Stellar’s development team this week also noted enhancements to their cross-border payment protocols, potentially strengthening ties with Ripple’s ecosystem and fueling more synchronized growth.
In the world of trading these assets, platforms like WEEX exchange stand out for their seamless integration of XLM and XRP pairs, offering low-fee spot and futures trading that empowers users to capitalize on these correlations. With robust security features and user-friendly tools, WEEX enhances the trading experience, making it easier for enthusiasts to align their strategies with bullish patterns like the ones we’re seeing now, all while building trust through reliable performance and innovative features.
This pattern persists into 2025, supporting the belief that XLM’s upward trajectory could continue alongside XRP’s elevation.
Remember, this isn’t investment advice or a recommendation. Every trade or investment carries risks, so always do your own due diligence before deciding.
Frequently Asked Questions
What Makes XLM’s Chart So Bullish Compared to Other Cryptos?
XLM’s ascending triangle pattern, combined with its strong correlation to XRP and positive momentum indicators like RSI and EMAs, sets it apart, suggesting potential for significant gains if it breaks key resistance levels, much like how a spring releases energy after compression.
How Does the Historical Correlation Between XLM and XRP Influence Future Prices?
Their correlation often exceeds 0.70 during bull runs, meaning when XRP surges—as seen in past events like the 2023 court ruling—XLM tends to follow suit, providing a tailwind for synchronized rallies based on shared use cases in payments.
Could XLM Really Reach $1, and What Would It Take?
Veteran analysts like Peter Brandt suggest yes, but it requires a decisive monthly close above $1 to confirm the macro bullish structure, backed by ongoing market momentum and real-world adoption in cross-border transactions for added credibility.
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No. The difference lies in where the keys are stored.
In Signal's end-to-end encryption, the keys never leave your device. X, the court, or any external party does not hold your keys. Signal's servers have nothing to decrypt your messages; even if they were subpoenaed, they could only provide registration timestamps and last connection times, as evidenced by past subpoena records.
X Chat uses the Juicebox protocol. This solution divides the key into three parts, each stored on three servers operated by X. When recovering the key with a PIN code, the system retrieves these three shards from X's servers and recombines them. No matter how complex the PIN code is, X is the actual custodian of the key, not the user.
This is the technical background of the "help page sentence": because the key is on X's servers, X has the ability to respond to legal processes without the user's knowledge. Signal does not have this capability, not because of policy, but because it simply does not have the key.
The following illustration compares the security mechanisms of Signal, WhatsApp, Telegram, and X Chat along six dimensions. X Chat is the only one of the four where the platform holds the key and the only one without Forward Secrecy.
The significance of Forward Secrecy is that even if a key is compromised at a certain point in time, historical messages cannot be decrypted because each message has a unique key. Signal's Double Ratchet protocol automatically updates the key after each message, a mechanism lacking in X Chat.
After analyzing the X Chat architecture in June 2025, Johns Hopkins University cryptology professor Matthew Green commented, "If we judge XChat as an end-to-end encryption scheme, this seems like a pretty game-over type of vulnerability." He later added, "I would not trust this any more than I trust current unencrypted DMs."
From a September 2025 TechCrunch report to being live in April 2026, this architecture saw no changes.
In a February 9, 2026 tweet, Musk pledged to undergo rigorous security tests of X Chat before its launch on X Chat and to open source all the code.
As of the April 17 launch date, no independent third-party audit has been completed, there is no official code repository on GitHub, the App Store's privacy label reveals X Chat collects five or more categories of data including location, contact info, and search history, directly contradicting the marketing claim of "No Ads, No Trackers."
Not continuous monitoring, but a clear access point.
For every message on X Chat, users can long-press and select "Ask Grok." When this button is clicked, the message is delivered to Grok in plaintext, transitioning from encrypted to unencrypted at this stage.
This design is not a vulnerability but a feature. However, X Chat's privacy policy does not state whether this plaintext data will be used for Grok's model training or if Grok will store this conversation content. By actively clicking "Ask Grok," users are voluntarily removing the encryption protection of that message.
There is also a structural issue: How quickly will this button shift from an "optional feature" to a "default habit"? The higher the quality of Grok's replies, the more frequently users will rely on it, leading to an increase in the proportion of messages flowing out of encryption protection. The actual encryption strength of X Chat, in the long run, depends not only on the design of the Juicebox protocol but also on the frequency of user clicks on "Ask Grok."
X Chat's initial release only supports iOS, with the Android version simply stating "coming soon" without a timeline.
In the global smartphone market, Android holds about 73%, while iOS holds about 27% (IDC/Statista, 2025). Of WhatsApp's 3.14 billion monthly active users, 73% are on Android (according to Demand Sage). In India, WhatsApp covers 854 million users, with over 95% Android penetration. In Brazil, there are 148 million users, with 81% on Android, and in Indonesia, there are 112 million users, with 87% on Android.
WhatsApp's dominance in the global communication market is built on Android. Signal, with a monthly active user base of around 85 million, also relies mainly on privacy-conscious users in Android-dominant countries.
X Chat circumvented this battlefield, with two possible interpretations. One is technical debt; X Chat is built with Rust, and achieving cross-platform support is not easy, so prioritizing iOS may be an engineering constraint. The other is a strategic choice; with iOS holding a market share of nearly 55% in the U.S., X's core user base being in the U.S., prioritizing iOS means focusing on their core user base rather than engaging in direct competition with Android-dominated emerging markets and WhatsApp.
These two interpretations are not mutually exclusive, leading to the same result: X Chat's debut saw it willingly forfeit 73% of the global smartphone user base.
This matter has been described by some: X Chat, along with X Money and Grok, forms a trifecta creating a closed-loop data system parallel to the existing infrastructure, similar in concept to the WeChat ecosystem. This assessment is not new, but with X Chat's launch, it's worth revisiting the schematic.
X Chat generates communication metadata, including information on who is talking to whom, for how long, and how frequently. This data flows into X's identity system. Part of the message content goes through the Ask Grok feature and enters Grok's processing chain. Financial transactions are handled by X Money: external public testing was completed in March, opening to the public in April, enabling fiat peer-to-peer transfers via Visa Direct. A senior Fireblocks executive confirmed plans for cryptocurrency payments to go live by the end of the year, holding money transmitter licenses in over 40 U.S. states currently.
Every WeChat feature operates within China's regulatory framework. Musk's system operates within Western regulatory frameworks, but he also serves as the head of the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE). This is not a WeChat replica; it is a reenactment of the same logic under different political conditions.
The difference is that WeChat has never explicitly claimed to be "end-to-end encrypted" on its main interface, whereas X Chat does. "End-to-end encryption" in user perception means that no one, not even the platform, can see your messages. X Chat's architectural design does not meet this user expectation, but it uses this term.
X Chat consolidates the three data lines of "who this person is, who they are talking to, and where their money comes from and goes to" in one company's hands.
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Soaring 50 times, with an FDV exceeding 10 billion USD, why RaveDAO?
1 billion DOTs were minted out of thin air, but the hacker only made 230,000 dollars
After the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, when will the war end?
Before using Musk's "Western WeChat" X Chat, you need to understand these three questions
The X Chat will be available for download on the App Store this Friday. The media has already covered the feature list, including self-destructing messages, screenshot prevention, 481-person group chats, Grok integration, and registration without a phone number, positioning it as the "Western WeChat." However, there are three questions that have hardly been addressed in any reports.
There is a sentence on X's official help page that is still hanging there: "If malicious insiders or X itself cause encrypted conversations to be exposed through legal processes, both the sender and receiver will be completely unaware."
No. The difference lies in where the keys are stored.
In Signal's end-to-end encryption, the keys never leave your device. X, the court, or any external party does not hold your keys. Signal's servers have nothing to decrypt your messages; even if they were subpoenaed, they could only provide registration timestamps and last connection times, as evidenced by past subpoena records.
X Chat uses the Juicebox protocol. This solution divides the key into three parts, each stored on three servers operated by X. When recovering the key with a PIN code, the system retrieves these three shards from X's servers and recombines them. No matter how complex the PIN code is, X is the actual custodian of the key, not the user.
This is the technical background of the "help page sentence": because the key is on X's servers, X has the ability to respond to legal processes without the user's knowledge. Signal does not have this capability, not because of policy, but because it simply does not have the key.
The following illustration compares the security mechanisms of Signal, WhatsApp, Telegram, and X Chat along six dimensions. X Chat is the only one of the four where the platform holds the key and the only one without Forward Secrecy.
The significance of Forward Secrecy is that even if a key is compromised at a certain point in time, historical messages cannot be decrypted because each message has a unique key. Signal's Double Ratchet protocol automatically updates the key after each message, a mechanism lacking in X Chat.
After analyzing the X Chat architecture in June 2025, Johns Hopkins University cryptology professor Matthew Green commented, "If we judge XChat as an end-to-end encryption scheme, this seems like a pretty game-over type of vulnerability." He later added, "I would not trust this any more than I trust current unencrypted DMs."
From a September 2025 TechCrunch report to being live in April 2026, this architecture saw no changes.
In a February 9, 2026 tweet, Musk pledged to undergo rigorous security tests of X Chat before its launch on X Chat and to open source all the code.
As of the April 17 launch date, no independent third-party audit has been completed, there is no official code repository on GitHub, the App Store's privacy label reveals X Chat collects five or more categories of data including location, contact info, and search history, directly contradicting the marketing claim of "No Ads, No Trackers."
Not continuous monitoring, but a clear access point.
For every message on X Chat, users can long-press and select "Ask Grok." When this button is clicked, the message is delivered to Grok in plaintext, transitioning from encrypted to unencrypted at this stage.
This design is not a vulnerability but a feature. However, X Chat's privacy policy does not state whether this plaintext data will be used for Grok's model training or if Grok will store this conversation content. By actively clicking "Ask Grok," users are voluntarily removing the encryption protection of that message.
There is also a structural issue: How quickly will this button shift from an "optional feature" to a "default habit"? The higher the quality of Grok's replies, the more frequently users will rely on it, leading to an increase in the proportion of messages flowing out of encryption protection. The actual encryption strength of X Chat, in the long run, depends not only on the design of the Juicebox protocol but also on the frequency of user clicks on "Ask Grok."
X Chat's initial release only supports iOS, with the Android version simply stating "coming soon" without a timeline.
In the global smartphone market, Android holds about 73%, while iOS holds about 27% (IDC/Statista, 2025). Of WhatsApp's 3.14 billion monthly active users, 73% are on Android (according to Demand Sage). In India, WhatsApp covers 854 million users, with over 95% Android penetration. In Brazil, there are 148 million users, with 81% on Android, and in Indonesia, there are 112 million users, with 87% on Android.
WhatsApp's dominance in the global communication market is built on Android. Signal, with a monthly active user base of around 85 million, also relies mainly on privacy-conscious users in Android-dominant countries.
X Chat circumvented this battlefield, with two possible interpretations. One is technical debt; X Chat is built with Rust, and achieving cross-platform support is not easy, so prioritizing iOS may be an engineering constraint. The other is a strategic choice; with iOS holding a market share of nearly 55% in the U.S., X's core user base being in the U.S., prioritizing iOS means focusing on their core user base rather than engaging in direct competition with Android-dominated emerging markets and WhatsApp.
These two interpretations are not mutually exclusive, leading to the same result: X Chat's debut saw it willingly forfeit 73% of the global smartphone user base.
This matter has been described by some: X Chat, along with X Money and Grok, forms a trifecta creating a closed-loop data system parallel to the existing infrastructure, similar in concept to the WeChat ecosystem. This assessment is not new, but with X Chat's launch, it's worth revisiting the schematic.
X Chat generates communication metadata, including information on who is talking to whom, for how long, and how frequently. This data flows into X's identity system. Part of the message content goes through the Ask Grok feature and enters Grok's processing chain. Financial transactions are handled by X Money: external public testing was completed in March, opening to the public in April, enabling fiat peer-to-peer transfers via Visa Direct. A senior Fireblocks executive confirmed plans for cryptocurrency payments to go live by the end of the year, holding money transmitter licenses in over 40 U.S. states currently.
Every WeChat feature operates within China's regulatory framework. Musk's system operates within Western regulatory frameworks, but he also serves as the head of the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE). This is not a WeChat replica; it is a reenactment of the same logic under different political conditions.
The difference is that WeChat has never explicitly claimed to be "end-to-end encrypted" on its main interface, whereas X Chat does. "End-to-end encryption" in user perception means that no one, not even the platform, can see your messages. X Chat's architectural design does not meet this user expectation, but it uses this term.
X Chat consolidates the three data lines of "who this person is, who they are talking to, and where their money comes from and goes to" in one company's hands.
The help page sentence has never been just technical instructions.
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